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This is going to be a big victory in 26 days.

We’ve lived to see this too—it’s already almost light when I head to work, and what has become completely clear since the Peace March and yesterday’s large rally in Kaposvár is that a large majority want a Hungary-friendly Orbán government that defends Hungarian interests for the next four years, not one that supports Ukraine. That is now completely obvious.

This will be a big, decisive victory on April 12, in 26 days.

1️⃣ Pre-declared victory narrative

(inevitability framing / bandwagon)

Excerpt:
“A big victory will come from this in 26 days”

Technique:
➡️ Presents a future election result as a fact
➡️ Frames it not as a possibility, but as a predetermined outcome

Goal:
➡️ Sway undecided voters toward the “winning side”
➡️ Motivate the existing supporter base

Effect:
➡️ “It’s already decided → better to belong to the winners”

⚠️ Real issue:
election outcomes are not predetermined


2️⃣ Illusion of majority

(bandwagon effect / false consensus)

Excerpt:
“a large majority supports…”

Technique:
➡️ Refers to a vague, unmeasured “majority”
➡️ No concrete data or sources

Goal:
➡️ Create social pressure
➡️ Generate the feeling that “everyone thinks this way”

Effect:
➡️ The reader may feel they are in the minority if they disagree

⚠️ Real issue:
a rally (Peace March, public gathering) ≠ the entire society


3️⃣ Selective evidence

(cherry picking)

Excerpt:
“since the Peace March and yesterday’s rally in Kaposvár… it is completely clear”

Technique:
➡️ Draws nationwide conclusions from two events
➡️ Uses only examples from one side

Goal:
➡️ “Prove” a preferred narrative
➡️ Omit contradictory signals

Effect:
➡️ Oversimplifies reality
➡️ Creates a distorted picture of public support


4️⃣ False dichotomy (reduction to two camps)

(false dilemma / black-and-white framing)

Excerpt:
“pro-Hungarian… Orbán government” vs “pro-Ukrainian”

Technique:
➡️ Reduces political choice to two extremes
➡️ Frames it as “Hungarian interest” vs “Ukrainian interest”

Goal:
➡️ Delegitimize the opposition
➡️ Turn politics into a moral choice

Effect:
➡️ If you don’t support the government → you are “against Hungarian interests”

⚠️ Real issue:
political positions are not this binary


5️⃣ Repetition as reinforcement

(repetition / reinforcement)

Excerpt:
“A big victory will come…” (repeated)

Technique:
➡️ Repeats a key message multiple times
➡️ Uses a simple, memorable phrase

Goal:
➡️ Embed the message
➡️ Strengthen emotional impact

Effect:
➡️ The claim feels more true through repetition


6️⃣ “It’s completely clear” narrative

(certainty framing)

Excerpt:
“it is completely clear by now”

Technique:
➡️ Presents a debatable claim as obvious fact
➡️ Eliminates room for doubt

Goal:
➡️ Reduce critical thinking
➡️ Shut down debate

Effect:
➡️ The reader is less likely to question the claim


🧠 Overall picture

The text is a classic campaign message that:

  • declares victory in advance
  • suggests majority support without evidence
  • generalizes from selective events
  • simplifies politics into a “good vs bad” frame
  • reinforces its claims through repetition and certainty

👉 Core strategy:
“We are the winners + we represent the national side”