Somehow this ugly opposition math just doesn’t add up.
So how many opposition voters are there actually? And where exactly are those so-called “disappointed Fidesz voters”? 🤔🤔🤔
More on this in the latest episode of the Gyalogátkelő – podcast! Link in the comments 🙂
Wasn’t the story supposed to be that there already was an opposition base — about one and a half, or almost two million people — back in ’22? Depending on the multiplier, of course.
And then, on top of that, people started writing to me in the comments saying that another 400,000 new Tisza voters would show up and completely wipe out Fidesz.
Who are these people? The ones who were just born?
So now we have two million opposition voters, plus another 400,000 — that’s already 2.4 million. And then Momentum offered up its body, soul, and service, Dialogue (Párbeszéd) also volunteered, and I’ve just seen that Péter Jakab did as well — they all offered themselves to Tisza.
But then, logically, that would mean there should be, say, two million Tisza voters — and on top of that, I don’t know… I’ve heard figures like another one million opposition voters.
So how does the math work out when it comes to, for example, the DK?
Could it be that what’s really happening here is not that disappointed Fidesz voters are forming the base of the Tisza Party, but rather disappointed opposition voters?
Former DK voters, maybe? Former Momentum supporters?
What is actually happening in Dezse’s statement?
This is not analysis — it’s guided doubt.
He doesn’t answer; he works with questions — and that is deliberate.
🎯 The goal
Not to help you understand the numbers, but to:
- confuse you,
- make you distrust the opposition,
- while simultaneously reassuring you as a Fidesz supporter.
1️⃣ “The math doesn’t add up” — not criticism, but a message
When he says:
“Somehow this ugly opposition math doesn’t add up”
👉 he doesn’t calculate,
👉 he doesn’t refute,
👉 he just creates a feeling.
💡 Message to the listener:
“Relax, these people are talking nonsense. You’re on the right side.”
This is cognitive reassurance, not analysis.
2️⃣ The question that isn’t a question
“So how many opposition voters are there now?”
This is not genuine curiosity.
It’s a rhetorical trap:
- no stated answer,
- no counter-argument,
- no data.
👉 The listener completes the thought themselves:
“They must be lying.”
This is projection: he lets you draw the conclusion — but he controls the direction.
3️⃣ The key trick: “not former Fidesz voters, but opposition voters”
When he gets to this:
“Maybe they’re not disappointed Fidesz voters, but disappointed opposition voters?”
💥 This is the psychological main strike.
What does it achieve?
✔ Protects Fidesz: “people aren’t leaving us”
✔ Devalues Tisza: “just recycled left-wing voters”
✔ Dismantles opposition hope: “they’re cannibalizing each other”
And all of this without ever saying:
“Fidesz is stable.”
4️⃣ Why does this work on a Fidesz audience?
Because it gives them exactly what they need:
- not anger,
- not mobilization,
- but emotional safety.
📌 Deep-level message:
“Don’t worry.
There’s no breakthrough.
They’re just stirring the air.”
This is anxiety-reducing propaganda.
5️⃣ Short, direct summary (if you want to say it plainly)
Dezse doesn’t calculate — he plants uncertainty.
He doesn’t debate — he undermines with questions.
His goal isn’t truth,
but to calm the Fidesz listener:
“There’s no danger. The opposition is just eating itself.”